Disorder Disaster

I have heard some speculation that the miserable performance of our middle schools is related to the disorder there.

We have numbers for that.

The VDOE Web site has a database, the Safe Schools Information Resource, with data on offenses and disciplinary outcomes in Virginia schools. 

I take those data with a chaser of skepticism: The numbers are self reported by the schools and likely less that truthful.  Nonetheless, these are the data we have.

Here, from that source, are the numbers of individual student offenders for the Richmond middle schools, divided by the Fall memberships

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VDOE gives membership data for Elkhardt and Thompson before the conjunction but not offense data, so the graph shows only the 2016 Elkhardt-Thompson datum (at 33%, near the middle of the pack).

Can you imagine a kid trying to learn in a school where 58% of the students are reported as offenders?  Or even 33% (which is over three times the state average for middle schools)?

As it is, the kids in those schools don’t learn much.  In that respect, let’s look at the 2016 SOL pass rate vs. the offender percentage.

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Even that substantial correlation does not imply causation but it’s hard to think this is a coincidence.

Data for the other tests tell much the same story.

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Here are the data:

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And remember, these same kids did much better in elementary school so the problem here has to be the middle schools, not the kids.

Ah, well: Your tax dollars at “work.”